Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.766881 2.904316 3.048566 3.211904 3.392530 3.587112 3.813868
2025-10-26 2.567760 2.764807 2.982131 3.242168 3.548435 3.902455 4.350056
2025-11-02 2.402186 2.631926 2.894219 3.220932 3.624722 4.118843 4.789230
2025-11-09 2.243435 2.486987 2.771701 3.136531 3.603593 4.200544 5.057864
2025-11-16 2.127596 2.381134 2.683326 3.079873 3.603218 4.298634 5.352113
2025-11-23 2.048067 2.312059 2.632366 3.062158 3.646196 4.452815 5.744482
2025-11-30 1.989745 2.264308 2.603033 3.067289 3.716408 4.648505 6.231354
2025-12-07 1.921790 2.200133 2.547856 3.032256 3.724821 4.750989 6.582005
2025-12-14 1.841323 2.116103 2.462153 2.949341 3.656221 4.725990 6.701949
2025-12-21 1.804068 2.085465 2.444260 2.957754 3.720323 4.914489 7.252028
2025-12-28 1.785965 2.078334 2.456443 3.008012 3.850056 5.225078 8.126747
2026-01-04 1.744205 2.038230 2.421895 2.988441 3.869045 5.347974 8.639221
2026-01-11 1.708381 2.007679 2.403007 2.996678 3.943020 5.598043 9.591949
2026-01-18 1.687701 1.996885 2.411325 3.046702 4.092194 6.020032 11.238108
2026-01-25 1.648596 1.959451 2.380264 3.034549 4.135185 6.243756 12.489487
2026-02-01 1.593391 1.897972 2.312269 2.960866 4.063936 6.218530 12.917346
2026-02-08 1.548805 1.849602 2.261066 2.910508 4.029595 6.267777 13.670472
2026-02-15 1.517305 1.818197 2.232908 2.894725 4.055760 6.455906 15.161008
2026-02-22 1.493684 1.796840 2.218273 2.899383 4.119516 6.744091 17.488584
2026-03-01 1.461388 1.762256 2.182772 2.867868 4.111747 6.858515 19.128133
2026-03-08 1.418858 1.712151 2.122710 2.793121 4.015066 6.734172 19.209653
2026-03-15 1.400800 1.696126 2.112687 2.800715 4.079425 7.038796 22.772460
2026-03-22 1.393576 1.695153 2.124943 2.846035 4.223184 7.597630 30.719864